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Matthew Ash's avatar

What is amazing to me is that some of the attributes of your cards are different than mine, but somehow we end up on the same page.

ā¤ļø

SRF13's avatar

What continues to concern me is the low volume. If the volume can pick up, we can start going up again. With low volume the whales will continue manipulating the market up and down t flush out the leverage and confuse people. Any insight on when we get a positive shift? Do we need to wait for mercury to go direct?

Also, can't wait to see your SOL and Rune readings. :-)

Tā–³rā˜‰nomics šŸƒ's avatar

Hiii agree with everything you say. Tmw morning I’m going to dedicate more time with cards to see about levels and get ready for May posts etc. Will also post Sol & Rune. They both didn’t look great initially but I’ll get that post tomorrow šŸ™

SRF13's avatar

I was hoping for some good news on SOL & Rune, but that doesn’t sound good. I think Bitcoin could be headed for $59K by end of April. Then we get a run in May and hopefully alt season. I think we get a bigger crash in early June and grind sideways until September 2024. A double top is looking more likely. Second top in Q2 2025.

What’s the saying…. ā€œSell in May and go awayā€.

Tā–³rā˜‰nomics šŸƒ's avatar

Double top is definitely looking likely. selling in May and going away tends to work really well but maybe this time a little different given the environment. Haven’t pulled details just the theme, so can say more once I pull. But If goes to 59k by end of April ( def possible ) then May will likely go lower before higher. Can’t wrap my mind around another retest of 60k holding….57/56 is support on Weekly band. If happens might be good buy instead of sell in May.

SRF13's avatar

All valid points, let’s see if we dip again into $59K by end of April. I would have guessed we go up in May if we dip to $59K by end of April. Interesting that you think we go lower in May, you may be correct. I don’t trade my BTC, it’s a 5-7 year hold. I’m trying to decide what percentage of my alts to sell before the first top. Also, want to open up some leveraged longs on a $59K BTC dip. The market isn’t making it easy. I’m going to watch volume closely with the Hong Kong ETF’s going live on April 30th. Volume seems to be the single most important indicator these last few weeks.

Tā–³rā˜‰nomics šŸƒ's avatar

Just to clarify I’m not bullish or bearish on May yet. The theme card is Wheel of Fortune which is generally a good sign to buy, but I want more details. I am not saying May starts down as I haven’t pulled any of those details yet. But just saying IF April closes ā‰ˆ 59/60 then lower soon afterwards is likely because I don’t think 59/60 will hold IF we drop that that low because that’ll be 3rd retest & those typically don’t hold, esp because it’s a tweezer bottom at 60, if taps again will keep going to 57/56 trying to say.All hypothetical. So if drops into April close hopefully it’ll already at 57 and not 59 :) Would be odd to not go Up at start of May because New Moon usually. I’ll post more about May soon. That’s smart you’re on 5-7 year plan with BTC.